5 thoughts on “The future development trend of the construction industry”
Joan
The future development trend of the construction industry . The status of the construction industry in the national economy is still stable I was affected by the economic crisis. After the economic trough of China in 2009, my country's economy began to rise steadily. The further development of my country's construction industry. In 2010, the value -added of my country's construction industry was 2645.1 billion yuan, contributing to 6.64%of the national GDP in my country in 2010. In the branch industry of fixed asset investment in cities and towns in 2010, the investment in fixed assets in the construction industry was 233.2 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 48.6%, which is the highest growth rate in various industries. In terms of employment, as of December 2010, the average number of employees in construction enterprises has reached 46.2427 million, creating a huge employment opportunity for China, which has played an important role in my country's early economic crisis. From the above data and facts, it can be seen that the status of the construction industry in my country's national economy is still firm. . The growth rate of the output value of the construction industry is stable since 2001, the profit margin of my country's construction industry has a relatively stable growth rate. In 2010 It has improved to a certain extent, which shows that the efficiency of my country's construction industry has improved to a certain extent. With the improvement of the technical level of the construction industry and the improvement of management and management, the labor productivity level of the entire industry has also improved greatly. three. Industry risk factors still exist 2011 The world economy gradually recovered and developed, but the future trend of economic development is uncertain, and risk factors still exist. The construction budget observes various companies in the industry and found that the risks facing the construction industry mainly include the following aspects: the risk of economic fluctuations at home and abroad; the contradiction between supply and demand still highlights risks; policy restrictions; There are risks such as uncertainty. . The macroeconomic environment of industry development has been continuously improved If surveys and analysis of the building materials industry: In 2010, the total domestic product value was 3979.83 billion yuan, an increase of 10.3%over the previous year. Among them, the added value of the first industry was 4049.7 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3%; the added value of the second industry was 18648.1 billion yuan, an increase of 12.2%; the added value of the tertiary industry was 17100.5 billion yuan, an increase of 9.5%. The value -added of the first industry accounted for 10.2%of the GDP, the value -added of the added value of the second industry was 46.8%, and the value -added ratio of the third industry was 43.0%. At present, my country's economy has maintained rapid development. In the future, the investment in fixed assets in the whole society will remain steadily growing. my country's construction industry is in the process of rapid development. The promotion of urbanization construction will bring a large number of urban housing construction, urban infrastructure construction, and urban commercial facilities construction. At the same time, markets such as industrial and energy base construction and transportation facilities will also maintain strong demand. According to the national "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" and various types of planning in the construction industry, the main areas of my country's construction industry related fixed asset investment include: (1) Urbanization construction Urbanization is the only way for modernization of my country, and it is also the main way to maintain economic continuity. Strong engine of healthy development. Urbanization construction will last for a long time and will bring a huge construction market. Driven by urbanization construction, real estate, construction industries and other industries will continue to maintain their growth. The urbanization rate in China in 2013 was 53.73%, an increase of 1.13 percentage points over the previous year. (2) The housing construction market in 2013 China Real Estate Development Investment was 8601.3 billion yuan, an increase of 19.8%over the previous year. Among them, residential investment was 5895.1 billion yuan, an increase of 19.4%; office buildings invested 465.2 billion yuan, an increase of 38.2%; commercial operating housing investment was 1194.5 billion yuan, an increase of 28.3%. The construction of 6.66 million units (households) of urban affordable housing engineering housing will be built throughout the year, and 5.44 million units of urban affordable housing engineering housing are basically built. In 2013, the completion of the main indicators of real estate development and sales and its growth rate data Source: National Bureau of Statistics based on the "Outline of the Twelfth Five -Year Planning of the Twelfth Five -Year Planning of the National Economic and Social Development" (hereinafter referred to as the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan") During the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period, my country will invest 36 million sets of affordable housing, with an average annual construction volume of 7.2 million units. Among them, the construction of 10.43 million units was started in 2011, and 4.32 million units were basically completed. In 2012, 7.81 million units were started, and 6.01 million units were basically completed. In 2013, 6.66 million units were started nationwide, and 5.44 million units were basically completed. (Note: The actual data published by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, 2013) From January to November), it is estimated that by 2015, my country's affordable housing will start about 11 million units, and a total of about 20 million units under construction. my country's affordable housing market will remain large Construction scale. According to the "Opinions of the State Council on Accelerating the Reconstruction of Shanto" (Guofa [2013] No. 25), in 2013-2017, my country will transform 10 million shantytowns, including urban shantytowns and state-owned industrial and mining shantytowns. The reconstruction of shantytowns will also bring a large number of housing construction needs. In summary, my country's housing construction market still maintains a rapid growth trend. (3) With the rapid development of the industrial and energy construction market, my country's requirements for the production capacity and capacity of industrial and energy have gradually increased. The "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" proposes that my country will promote the change of energy production and utilization, adjust and optimize the energy structure, promote the diversified and clean development of energy, optimize the development of energy development, and strengthen the construction of energy transmission channels. Comprehensive energy base construction, key projects of energy conservation and emission reduction, and construction of natural gas facilities are the key areas of the future development of my country's industrial and energy market. According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" of Energy Development, by the end of 2015, my country's domestic energy production capacity will reach 3.66 billion tons of standard coal, an increase of 23.23%over 2010. my country will accelerate the construction of Shanxi, Ordos Basin, eastern Inner Mongolia, Southwest, and Xinjiang's five major countries' comprehensive energy bases. By 2015, the first -time energy production capacity of the five major bases will reach 2.66 billion tons of standard coal, accounting for more than 70%of the country. According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" of Energy Conservation and Eatsurding, the demand for investment in energy conservation projects in my country during the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period reached 982 billion yuan, key project investment demand for emission reduction projects reached 816 billion yuan, and the investment demand for key project investment in circular economy reached 568 billion yuan. , Energy -saving and emission reduction construction projects will bring huge construction needs. According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" of Natural Gas Development, by 2015, my country's domestic natural gas supply capacity will reach about 176 billion cubic meters. During the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period, my country will build a new natural gas pipeline (including branch lines) of 44,000 kilometers, and the new trunk pipeline capacity will be about 150 billion cubic meters per year; the newly added gas storage gas volume is about 22 billion cubic meters, with a total investment of 81.1 billion Yuan focused on the construction of 24 storage cans in the country. In summary, my country's rapidly growing industrial and energy construction market will bring huge construction needs to the construction industry. (4) Traffic infrastructure construction Market According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan for Comprehensive Transportation System Plan", the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period is a critical period for the complete transportation infrastructure network in my country. Important period. During the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period, my country will add 492,000 kilometers of roads in China, 29,000 kilometers of new railway business mileage, 55 new civil transportation airports, and 1,600 kilometers of new urban rail transit operating mileage. According to the "National Highway Network Planning (2013-2030", the total scale of China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" national highway network will reach 401,000 kilometers, consisting of the two road networks of ordinary national highway and national highway. The scale is about 265,000 kilometers, and about 100,000 kilometers of existing roads need to be upgraded and 8,000 kilometers need to be built. The national highway network has a total of about 118,000 kilometers, of which 22,000 kilometers are built and about 25,000 kilometers to be built. According to "" The railway "Twelfth Five -Year Plan", China's railway business mileage will increase from 91,000 kilometers at the end of 2010 to 120,000 kilometers at the end of 2015, of which the fast -rail business mileage will increase from 20,000 kilometers at the end of 2010 to more than 40,000 kilometers at the end of 2015. In 2005, China's railway business mileage was 75,400 kilometers, and the basic construction investment was 88.018 billion yuan. In 2013, railway business mileage and basic construction investment increased to 1030,000 kilometers and 5,3270 billion yuan, respectively, an increase of 37.33%and 505.30 from 2005, respectively. %. According to the "2012-2013 China Urban Rail Transit Development Report", in 2012, a total of 35 cities in China were building rail transit lines and completed a total investment of about 260 billion yuan. As of the end of 2013, there were 19 cumulative 19 China in China. There are 87 urban rail lines in this city, with a total mileage of 2,539 kilometers. Compared with 2012, 2 new operating cities, 16 operating lines, and 395 kilometers of operation mileage are added. At this stage, there are rail transit in 37 cities in China in China. Recently, the construction plan has been approved by the relevant national departments. It is expected that by the end of 2015, the mileage of urban rail transit operation in China will reach 3,000 kilometers. In summary, China's transportation infrastructure market will still have a large scale in the future. The construction of highways, airports, railways, and rail transit will still maintain rapid growth
Credit management: Internal constraints and new drivers for the development of the construction market economy It plays an important role in changing market transaction methods, optimizing market resource allocation, regulating market transaction behavior, and shaping the rules of market order. A healthy and mature economic market must have a relatively sound credit management mechanism, which not only forms effective internal constraints for the operation and management of the market economy, but also improves market resource allocation methods to promote market competition and form a powerful market economy development driving force.
1, credit management, the inner restrictions of the development of the construction market economy r The two major problems of asymmetric trading risks and "opportunism psychology" affect the fairness of market transaction behavior and the standardization of market transaction order. The operation and management of my country's construction market economy has been affected by the long -term planning economic system that has long -term lack of "credit management" mechanism constraints, and the market has serious problems in the lack of credit awareness and serious problems of dishonesty.
The main manifestations of credit lack and dishonesty The owner's arrears of engineering funds, explicit or implies the contractor to bring capital, disintegrate the contract, sign the yin and yang contract; the contractor siege string Bidding, qualifications, fake performance, illegal subcontracting and transfer, cutting corners, sharing, rudely manufacturing, arrears of migrant workers' salary, not fulfilling quality warranty responsibilities; engineering supervision, cost consulting, bidding agency and other intermediaries operate illegally, asking for bribes, asking for bribes. False reports, dark box operations ...
From here, the "credit" problem almost exists in all aspects of engineering construction management, involving owners, contractors, suppliers, migrant workers, migrant workers When the main body of various construction activities, the risk is directly conducted in the quality and construction safety of the project, which seriously threatens the people's personal rights and interests. Therefore, in recent years, the state has continuously accelerated the construction of credit management in the construction market, and explored the inherent constraints of "credit management" in the development of the construction market economy through the diversified credit management mechanism and application practice of multi -link areas.
With the continuous advancement of the national social credit system, the credit management of the construction market has also achieved certain results in recent years, including the establishment of a series of effective credit management mechanisms, including credit information management , Credit risk assessment, disciplinary behavior of dishonesty.
Credit information management
According to national laws, the management category of credit information provides services for financial and economic activities to judge individuals All kinds of information with corporate credit status. Including but not limited to the identity, address, transportation, communications, debt, property, payment, consumption, production and operation, and fulfilling legal obligations of individuals and enterprises, as well as the personal and personal obligations of the aforementioned information Analysis and evaluation information formed by corporate credit status. "
In the management information management of credit information through effectively collection, sorting, storage, sharing, disclosure, use, etc. Provide a reliable basis for the commercial decision -making of the market transaction subject. On the other hand, it can also effectively reduce the occurrence of dishonesty behaviors in the construction market, and form a strong market integrity constraint on the subject of dishonesty.
Credit risk rating
is based on the complex and changing credit risk of the construction market and the serious threat to the legitimate rights and interests of the subjects of all parties. Credit information management, professional credit risk rating is also an effective means to prevent and respond to various types of credit risk threats.
The credit risk rating includes government departments regulatory rating and market rating of professional credit rating agencies allowed by the state. The main operating principle is that credit rating agencies based on the financial credit information, public credit information, and commercial credit information of the credit rating. Credit analysis rating. Authoritative credit rating results and credit rating services can help market transaction subjects effectively avoid various types of credit risks under information asymmetry, and provide support for project bidding management, enterprise investment, account recovery and other activities.
The credit behavior punishment
Onon -breaking behavior punishment is one of the important means of credit management in the construction market. And can quickly solve the problem of difficulty in implementing the credit management system measures. The principle of mechanisms includes the identification of dishonesty, the identification of the list of dishonesty, and the joint punishment of the dishonesty.
The credit information of the construction market includes excellent behavior information and dishonesty behavior information. At present, the national and local residential construction departments have clearly made the owner, construction, design, supervision and other related building market activities, making the criteria for identification of dishonesty behavior records. When the relevant construction activity subjects have identified specific serious dishonesty, they will be included in the main body of the construction market market. "Blacklist" accepts administrative restrictions and market restrictions including market access, qualification management, bidding and bidding.
2, credit management, new driver of the development of the construction market economy
Including two aspects, one is to establish the internal constraints of the market economy operation, focusing on rules, standards, and constraints (as above); the other is to play an important role in market transactions and resource allocation in market transactions and reshape building. The market competition mechanism focuses on guidance, standardization and shaping.
"Credit" itself is a market transaction method, and "value" is generated during the continuous expansion of transaction behavior. For example, a certain construction enterprise has a good comprehensive enterprise strength and establishes a good reputation for the reputation of corporate reputation in the past market transactions, then the company will better obtain the trust of the contractor in the market competition of similar enterprises and have more business contracting Chance. Similarly, even in the bank's funds borrowing and integration activities, good credit companies are more likely to obtain funds borrowing opportunities and have a higher bank credit limit. It can be seen that the "credit" element has formed real value in market transactions and financial activities, which can establish better development advantages for enterprises and win more development opportunities.
At the same time, in the operation of the traditional market economy, companies only have the qualifications for participating in the allocation of market resource allocation by having a factory, machinery, equipment, funds and other material competition. Competition such as strength to achieve the development and development of the enterprise. However, in the construction market environment that lacks effective credit management mechanisms, malicious low prices (prices), qualifications (strength), performance fake (performance), cutting corners (quality), secondary (quality), crude production (quality) The phenomenon of irregular behaviors is very easy to occur, which will seriously disrupt the order of the building market, resulting in the failure of market resource allocation.
In instead of mature credit management market environment, "credit" has not only become an important factor that can affect the market competition and financial borrowing activities of the enterprise, but also because of "price", "performance", "performance", " The competitive elements of corporate qualifications have "credit" attributes in itself, and the "credit" element will have a standardized and purifying effect on traditional competition elements. Avoid phenomena such as "low -cost bidding", "performance fake", "qualifications", "cutting corners", etc., guide, standardize and reshape market competition, and give the construction market economy a new driving force.
The size of the construction industry has repeatedly reached a record high The 70 years since the founding of New China, with the large -scale development of my country's economic construction, the construction industry has developed rapidly, and the scale of output value has continued to expand. The total output value was 14.6 billion yuan in 1956, exceeding the 10 billion mark; the total output value was 113.2 billion yuan in 1988, exceeding the 100 billion mark, and the total output value was 1006.2 billion yuan in 1998, exceeding the trillion -dollar mark; the total output value was completed in 2011; 116 trillion yuan, exceeding the 10 trillion mark; the total output value was completed in 2017 of 2.1.4 trillion yuan, exceeding the 200 trillion mark. In the first half of 2019, the total output value of the construction industry in the country was 1.02 billion yuan, an increase of 7.2%year -on -year. The construction industry has maintained continuous rapid development It since 2014, the proportion of value -added of the construction industry has always maintained a total of 6.0%. In 2018, it reached a higher point of 6.87%, and after two consecutive years in 2015 and 2016, two consecutive years recovered. In the first half of 2019, the value -added of the construction industry was 2746.6 billion yuan, an increase of 5.5%compared with the same period of the previous year, and the value -added of the construction industry accounted for 6.1%of the total domestic production value. The rapid growth of construction enterprises In the 1950s and 1970s, with the recovery of the national economy, the number of construction enterprises has steadily increased. In 1980, there were 6,604 construction enterprises of the collective ownership of the people and towns, an increase of more than 100 times over the early days of the founding of New China. Since the reform and opening up, the construction industry has ushered in the golden period of booming, and the number of enterprises has grown rapidly. As of the first half of 2019, there were 92,733 construction enterprise units across the country, an increase of 6,740 over the same period last year, an increase of 7.84%, and the growth rate increased for four consecutive years. -For more data, refer to the "Analysis Report on the Development Prospects and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Intelligent Construction Industry" released by the Foresight Industry Research Institute.
I. The status of the construction industry in the national economy is still stable I was influenced by the economic crisis. After the economic trough of China in 2009, my country's economy began to rise steadily, which led to the further development of my country's construction industry. In 2010, the value -added of my country's construction industry was 2645.1 billion yuan, contributing to 6.64%of the national GDP in my country in 2010. In the branch industry of fixed asset investment in cities and towns in 2010, the investment in fixed assets in the construction industry was 233.2 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 48.6%, which is the highest growth rate in various industries. In terms of employment, as of December 2010, the average number of employees in construction enterprises has reached 46.2427 million, creating a huge employment opportunity for China, which has played an important role in my country's early economic crisis. From the above data and facts, it can be seen that the status of the construction industry in my country's national economy is still firm. . The growth rate of the output value of the construction industry is stable since 2001, the profit margin of my country's construction industry has a relatively stable growth rate. In 2010 It has improved to a certain extent, which shows that the efficiency of my country's construction industry has improved to a certain extent. With the improvement of the technical level of the construction industry and the improvement of management and management, the labor productivity level of the entire industry has also improved greatly. three. Industry risk factors still exist 2011 The world economy gradually recovered and developed, but the future trend of economic development is uncertain, and risk factors still exist. The construction budget observes various companies in the industry and found that the risks facing the construction industry mainly include the following aspects: the risk of economic fluctuations at home and abroad; the contradiction between supply and demand still highlights risks; policy restrictions; There are risks such as uncertainty. . The macroeconomic environment of industry development has been continuously improved If surveys and analysis of the building materials industry: In 2010, the total domestic product value was 3979.83 billion yuan, an increase of 10.3%over the previous year. Among them, the added value of the first industry was 4049.7 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3%; the added value of the second industry was 18648.1 billion yuan, an increase of 12.2%; the added value of the tertiary industry was 17100.5 billion yuan, an increase of 9.5%. The value -added of the first industry accounted for 10.2%of the GDP, the value -added of the added value of the second industry was 46.8%, and the value -added ratio of the third industry was 43.0%. At present, my country's economy has maintained rapid development. In the future, the investment in fixed assets in the whole society will remain steadily growing. my country's construction industry is in the process of rapid development. The promotion of urbanization construction will bring a large number of urban housing construction, urban infrastructure construction, and urban commercial facilities construction. At the same time, markets such as industrial and energy base construction and transportation facilities will also maintain strong demand.
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The future development trend of the construction industry
. The status of the construction industry in the national economy is still stable
I was affected by the economic crisis. After the economic trough of China in 2009, my country's economy began to rise steadily. The further development of my country's construction industry. In 2010, the value -added of my country's construction industry was 2645.1 billion yuan, contributing to 6.64%of the national GDP in my country in 2010. In the branch industry of fixed asset investment in cities and towns in 2010, the investment in fixed assets in the construction industry was 233.2 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 48.6%, which is the highest growth rate in various industries. In terms of employment, as of December 2010, the average number of employees in construction enterprises has reached 46.2427 million, creating a huge employment opportunity for China, which has played an important role in my country's early economic crisis. From the above data and facts, it can be seen that the status of the construction industry in my country's national economy is still firm.
. The growth rate of the output value of the construction industry is stable
since 2001, the profit margin of my country's construction industry has a relatively stable growth rate. In 2010 It has improved to a certain extent, which shows that the efficiency of my country's construction industry has improved to a certain extent. With the improvement of the technical level of the construction industry and the improvement of management and management, the labor productivity level of the entire industry has also improved greatly.
three. Industry risk factors still exist
2011 The world economy gradually recovered and developed, but the future trend of economic development is uncertain, and risk factors still exist. The construction budget observes various companies in the industry and found that the risks facing the construction industry mainly include the following aspects: the risk of economic fluctuations at home and abroad; the contradiction between supply and demand still highlights risks; policy restrictions; There are risks such as uncertainty.
. The macroeconomic environment of industry development has been continuously improved
If surveys and analysis of the building materials industry: In 2010, the total domestic product value was 3979.83 billion yuan, an increase of 10.3%over the previous year. Among them, the added value of the first industry was 4049.7 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3%; the added value of the second industry was 18648.1 billion yuan, an increase of 12.2%; the added value of the tertiary industry was 17100.5 billion yuan, an increase of 9.5%. The value -added of the first industry accounted for 10.2%of the GDP, the value -added of the added value of the second industry was 46.8%, and the value -added ratio of the third industry was 43.0%.
At present, my country's economy has maintained rapid development. In the future, the investment in fixed assets in the whole society will remain steadily growing. my country's construction industry is in the process of rapid development. The promotion of urbanization construction will bring a large number of urban housing construction, urban infrastructure construction, and urban commercial facilities construction. At the same time, markets such as industrial and energy base construction and transportation facilities will also maintain strong demand. According to the national "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" and various types of planning in the construction industry, the main areas of my country's construction industry related fixed asset investment include:
(1) Urbanization construction Urbanization is the only way for modernization of my country, and it is also the main way to maintain economic continuity. Strong engine of healthy development. Urbanization construction will last for a long time and will bring a huge construction market. Driven by urbanization construction, real estate, construction industries and other industries will continue to maintain their growth. The urbanization rate in China in 2013 was 53.73%, an increase of 1.13 percentage points over the previous year.
(2) The housing construction market in 2013 China Real Estate Development Investment was 8601.3 billion yuan, an increase of 19.8%over the previous year. Among them, residential investment was 5895.1 billion yuan, an increase of 19.4%; office buildings invested 465.2 billion yuan, an increase of 38.2%; commercial operating housing investment was 1194.5 billion yuan, an increase of 28.3%. The construction of 6.66 million units (households) of urban affordable housing engineering housing will be built throughout the year, and 5.44 million units of urban affordable housing engineering housing are basically built. In 2013, the completion of the main indicators of real estate development and sales and its growth rate data Source: National Bureau of Statistics based on the "Outline of the Twelfth Five -Year Planning of the Twelfth Five -Year Planning of the National Economic and Social Development" (hereinafter referred to as the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan") During the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period, my country will invest 36 million sets of affordable housing, with an average annual construction volume of 7.2 million units. Among them, the construction of 10.43 million units was started in 2011, and 4.32 million units were basically completed. In 2012, 7.81 million units were started, and 6.01 million units were basically completed. In 2013, 6.66 million units were started nationwide, and 5.44 million units were basically completed. (Note: The actual data published by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, 2013) From January to November), it is estimated that by 2015, my country's affordable housing will start about 11 million units, and a total of about 20 million units under construction. my country's affordable housing market will remain large Construction scale. According to the "Opinions of the State Council on Accelerating the Reconstruction of Shanto" (Guofa [2013] No. 25), in 2013-2017, my country will transform 10 million shantytowns, including urban shantytowns and state-owned industrial and mining shantytowns. The reconstruction of shantytowns will also bring a large number of housing construction needs. In summary, my country's housing construction market still maintains a rapid growth trend.
(3) With the rapid development of the industrial and energy construction market, my country's requirements for the production capacity and capacity of industrial and energy have gradually increased. The "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" proposes that my country will promote the change of energy production and utilization, adjust and optimize the energy structure, promote the diversified and clean development of energy, optimize the development of energy development, and strengthen the construction of energy transmission channels. Comprehensive energy base construction, key projects of energy conservation and emission reduction, and construction of natural gas facilities are the key areas of the future development of my country's industrial and energy market. According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" of Energy Development, by the end of 2015, my country's domestic energy production capacity will reach 3.66 billion tons of standard coal, an increase of 23.23%over 2010. my country will accelerate the construction of Shanxi, Ordos Basin, eastern Inner Mongolia, Southwest, and Xinjiang's five major countries' comprehensive energy bases. By 2015, the first -time energy production capacity of the five major bases will reach 2.66 billion tons of standard coal, accounting for more than 70%of the country. According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" of Energy Conservation and Eatsurding, the demand for investment in energy conservation projects in my country during the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period reached 982 billion yuan, key project investment demand for emission reduction projects reached 816 billion yuan, and the investment demand for key project investment in circular economy reached 568 billion yuan. , Energy -saving and emission reduction construction projects will bring huge construction needs. According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" of Natural Gas Development, by 2015, my country's domestic natural gas supply capacity will reach about 176 billion cubic meters. During the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period, my country will build a new natural gas pipeline (including branch lines) of 44,000 kilometers, and the new trunk pipeline capacity will be about 150 billion cubic meters per year; the newly added gas storage gas volume is about 22 billion cubic meters, with a total investment of 81.1 billion Yuan focused on the construction of 24 storage cans in the country. In summary, my country's rapidly growing industrial and energy construction market will bring huge construction needs to the construction industry.
(4) Traffic infrastructure construction Market According to the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan for Comprehensive Transportation System Plan", the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period is a critical period for the complete transportation infrastructure network in my country. Important period. During the "Twelfth Five -Year Plan" period, my country will add 492,000 kilometers of roads in China, 29,000 kilometers of new railway business mileage, 55 new civil transportation airports, and 1,600 kilometers of new urban rail transit operating mileage. According to the "National Highway Network Planning (2013-2030", the total scale of China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" national highway network will reach 401,000 kilometers, consisting of the two road networks of ordinary national highway and national highway. The scale is about 265,000 kilometers, and about 100,000 kilometers of existing roads need to be upgraded and 8,000 kilometers need to be built. The national highway network has a total of about 118,000 kilometers, of which 22,000 kilometers are built and about 25,000 kilometers to be built. According to "" The railway "Twelfth Five -Year Plan", China's railway business mileage will increase from 91,000 kilometers at the end of 2010 to 120,000 kilometers at the end of 2015, of which the fast -rail business mileage will increase from 20,000 kilometers at the end of 2010 to more than 40,000 kilometers at the end of 2015. In 2005, China's railway business mileage was 75,400 kilometers, and the basic construction investment was 88.018 billion yuan. In 2013, railway business mileage and basic construction investment increased to 1030,000 kilometers and 5,3270 billion yuan, respectively, an increase of 37.33%and 505.30 from 2005, respectively. %.
According to the "2012-2013 China Urban Rail Transit Development Report", in 2012, a total of 35 cities in China were building rail transit lines and completed a total investment of about 260 billion yuan. As of the end of 2013, there were 19 cumulative 19 China in China. There are 87 urban rail lines in this city, with a total mileage of 2,539 kilometers. Compared with 2012, 2 new operating cities, 16 operating lines, and 395 kilometers of operation mileage are added. At this stage, there are rail transit in 37 cities in China in China. Recently, the construction plan has been approved by the relevant national departments. It is expected that by the end of 2015, the mileage of urban rail transit operation in China will reach 3,000 kilometers. In summary, China's transportation infrastructure market will still have a large scale in the future. The construction of highways, airports, railways, and rail transit will still maintain rapid growth
Credit management: Internal constraints and new drivers for the development of the construction market economy It plays an important role in changing market transaction methods, optimizing market resource allocation, regulating market transaction behavior, and shaping the rules of market order. A healthy and mature economic market must have a relatively sound credit management mechanism, which not only forms effective internal constraints for the operation and management of the market economy, but also improves market resource allocation methods to promote market competition and form a powerful market economy development driving force.
1, credit management, the inner restrictions of the development of the construction market economy
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The two major problems of asymmetric trading risks and "opportunism psychology" affect the fairness of market transaction behavior and the standardization of market transaction order. The operation and management of my country's construction market economy has been affected by the long -term planning economic system that has long -term lack of "credit management" mechanism constraints, and the market has serious problems in the lack of credit awareness and serious problems of dishonesty.
The main manifestations of credit lack and dishonesty
The owner's arrears of engineering funds, explicit or implies the contractor to bring capital, disintegrate the contract, sign the yin and yang contract; the contractor siege string Bidding, qualifications, fake performance, illegal subcontracting and transfer, cutting corners, sharing, rudely manufacturing, arrears of migrant workers' salary, not fulfilling quality warranty responsibilities; engineering supervision, cost consulting, bidding agency and other intermediaries operate illegally, asking for bribes, asking for bribes. False reports, dark box operations ...
From here, the "credit" problem almost exists in all aspects of engineering construction management, involving owners, contractors, suppliers, migrant workers, migrant workers When the main body of various construction activities, the risk is directly conducted in the quality and construction safety of the project, which seriously threatens the people's personal rights and interests. Therefore, in recent years, the state has continuously accelerated the construction of credit management in the construction market, and explored the inherent constraints of "credit management" in the development of the construction market economy through the diversified credit management mechanism and application practice of multi -link areas.
With the continuous advancement of the national social credit system, the credit management of the construction market has also achieved certain results in recent years, including the establishment of a series of effective credit management mechanisms, including credit information management , Credit risk assessment, disciplinary behavior of dishonesty.
Credit information management
According to national laws, the management category of credit information provides services for financial and economic activities to judge individuals All kinds of information with corporate credit status. Including but not limited to the identity, address, transportation, communications, debt, property, payment, consumption, production and operation, and fulfilling legal obligations of individuals and enterprises, as well as the personal and personal obligations of the aforementioned information Analysis and evaluation information formed by corporate credit status. "
In the management information management of credit information through effectively collection, sorting, storage, sharing, disclosure, use, etc. Provide a reliable basis for the commercial decision -making of the market transaction subject. On the other hand, it can also effectively reduce the occurrence of dishonesty behaviors in the construction market, and form a strong market integrity constraint on the subject of dishonesty.
Credit risk rating
is based on the complex and changing credit risk of the construction market and the serious threat to the legitimate rights and interests of the subjects of all parties. Credit information management, professional credit risk rating is also an effective means to prevent and respond to various types of credit risk threats.
The credit risk rating includes government departments regulatory rating and market rating of professional credit rating agencies allowed by the state. The main operating principle is that credit rating agencies based on the financial credit information, public credit information, and commercial credit information of the credit rating. Credit analysis rating. Authoritative credit rating results and credit rating services can help market transaction subjects effectively avoid various types of credit risks under information asymmetry, and provide support for project bidding management, enterprise investment, account recovery and other activities.
The credit behavior punishment
Onon -breaking behavior punishment is one of the important means of credit management in the construction market. And can quickly solve the problem of difficulty in implementing the credit management system measures. The principle of mechanisms includes the identification of dishonesty, the identification of the list of dishonesty, and the joint punishment of the dishonesty.
The credit information of the construction market includes excellent behavior information and dishonesty behavior information. At present, the national and local residential construction departments have clearly made the owner, construction, design, supervision and other related building market activities, making the criteria for identification of dishonesty behavior records. When the relevant construction activity subjects have identified specific serious dishonesty, they will be included in the main body of the construction market market. "Blacklist" accepts administrative restrictions and market restrictions including market access, qualification management, bidding and bidding.
2, credit management, new driver of the development of the construction market economy
Including two aspects, one is to establish the internal constraints of the market economy operation, focusing on rules, standards, and constraints (as above); the other is to play an important role in market transactions and resource allocation in market transactions and reshape building. The market competition mechanism focuses on guidance, standardization and shaping.
"Credit" itself is a market transaction method, and "value" is generated during the continuous expansion of transaction behavior. For example, a certain construction enterprise has a good comprehensive enterprise strength and establishes a good reputation for the reputation of corporate reputation in the past market transactions, then the company will better obtain the trust of the contractor in the market competition of similar enterprises and have more business contracting Chance. Similarly, even in the bank's funds borrowing and integration activities, good credit companies are more likely to obtain funds borrowing opportunities and have a higher bank credit limit. It can be seen that the "credit" element has formed real value in market transactions and financial activities, which can establish better development advantages for enterprises and win more development opportunities.
At the same time, in the operation of the traditional market economy, companies only have the qualifications for participating in the allocation of market resource allocation by having a factory, machinery, equipment, funds and other material competition. Competition such as strength to achieve the development and development of the enterprise. However, in the construction market environment that lacks effective credit management mechanisms, malicious low prices (prices), qualifications (strength), performance fake (performance), cutting corners (quality), secondary (quality), crude production (quality) The phenomenon of irregular behaviors is very easy to occur, which will seriously disrupt the order of the building market, resulting in the failure of market resource allocation.
In instead of mature credit management market environment, "credit" has not only become an important factor that can affect the market competition and financial borrowing activities of the enterprise, but also because of "price", "performance", "performance", " The competitive elements of corporate qualifications have "credit" attributes in itself, and the "credit" element will have a standardized and purifying effect on traditional competition elements. Avoid phenomena such as "low -cost bidding", "performance fake", "qualifications", "cutting corners", etc., guide, standardize and reshape market competition, and give the construction market economy a new driving force.
The size of the construction industry has repeatedly reached a record high
The 70 years since the founding of New China, with the large -scale development of my country's economic construction, the construction industry has developed rapidly, and the scale of output value has continued to expand. The total output value was 14.6 billion yuan in 1956, exceeding the 10 billion mark; the total output value was 113.2 billion yuan in 1988, exceeding the 100 billion mark, and the total output value was 1006.2 billion yuan in 1998, exceeding the trillion -dollar mark; the total output value was completed in 2011; 116 trillion yuan, exceeding the 10 trillion mark; the total output value was completed in 2017 of 2.1.4 trillion yuan, exceeding the 200 trillion mark. In the first half of 2019, the total output value of the construction industry in the country was 1.02 billion yuan, an increase of 7.2%year -on -year.
The construction industry has maintained continuous rapid development
It since 2014, the proportion of value -added of the construction industry has always maintained a total of 6.0%. In 2018, it reached a higher point of 6.87%, and after two consecutive years in 2015 and 2016, two consecutive years recovered. In the first half of 2019, the value -added of the construction industry was 2746.6 billion yuan, an increase of 5.5%compared with the same period of the previous year, and the value -added of the construction industry accounted for 6.1%of the total domestic production value.
The rapid growth of construction enterprises
In the 1950s and 1970s, with the recovery of the national economy, the number of construction enterprises has steadily increased. In 1980, there were 6,604 construction enterprises of the collective ownership of the people and towns, an increase of more than 100 times over the early days of the founding of New China. Since the reform and opening up, the construction industry has ushered in the golden period of booming, and the number of enterprises has grown rapidly. As of the first half of 2019, there were 92,733 construction enterprise units across the country, an increase of 6,740 over the same period last year, an increase of 7.84%, and the growth rate increased for four consecutive years.
-For more data, refer to the "Analysis Report on the Development Prospects and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Intelligent Construction Industry" released by the Foresight Industry Research Institute.
I. The status of the construction industry in the national economy is still stable
I was influenced by the economic crisis. After the economic trough of China in 2009, my country's economy began to rise steadily, which led to the further development of my country's construction industry. In 2010, the value -added of my country's construction industry was 2645.1 billion yuan, contributing to 6.64%of the national GDP in my country in 2010. In the branch industry of fixed asset investment in cities and towns in 2010, the investment in fixed assets in the construction industry was 233.2 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 48.6%, which is the highest growth rate in various industries. In terms of employment, as of December 2010, the average number of employees in construction enterprises has reached 46.2427 million, creating a huge employment opportunity for China, which has played an important role in my country's early economic crisis. From the above data and facts, it can be seen that the status of the construction industry in my country's national economy is still firm.
. The growth rate of the output value of the construction industry is stable
since 2001, the profit margin of my country's construction industry has a relatively stable growth rate. In 2010 It has improved to a certain extent, which shows that the efficiency of my country's construction industry has improved to a certain extent. With the improvement of the technical level of the construction industry and the improvement of management and management, the labor productivity level of the entire industry has also improved greatly.
three. Industry risk factors still exist
2011 The world economy gradually recovered and developed, but the future trend of economic development is uncertain, and risk factors still exist. The construction budget observes various companies in the industry and found that the risks facing the construction industry mainly include the following aspects: the risk of economic fluctuations at home and abroad; the contradiction between supply and demand still highlights risks; policy restrictions; There are risks such as uncertainty.
. The macroeconomic environment of industry development has been continuously improved
If surveys and analysis of the building materials industry: In 2010, the total domestic product value was 3979.83 billion yuan, an increase of 10.3%over the previous year. Among them, the added value of the first industry was 4049.7 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3%; the added value of the second industry was 18648.1 billion yuan, an increase of 12.2%; the added value of the tertiary industry was 17100.5 billion yuan, an increase of 9.5%. The value -added of the first industry accounted for 10.2%of the GDP, the value -added of the added value of the second industry was 46.8%, and the value -added ratio of the third industry was 43.0%.
At present, my country's economy has maintained rapid development. In the future, the investment in fixed assets in the whole society will remain steadily growing. my country's construction industry is in the process of rapid development. The promotion of urbanization construction will bring a large number of urban housing construction, urban infrastructure construction, and urban commercial facilities construction. At the same time, markets such as industrial and energy base construction and transportation facilities will also maintain strong demand.
What is the future trend of the construction industry?
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